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Live Updates

6

Mar 2026

在伊朗紧张局势升级之际，道指暴跌840点，标普500和纳斯达克也回落

伊朗油轮爆炸传闻引发恐慌，美股重挫：道指跌840点；油价飙升推升利率预期。博通绩优逆涨，黄金比特币走强，资金急转避险。

6

Mar 2026

美国四周期国库券拍卖收益率为3.64%，较此前的3.625%略有上升

4周美债拍卖收益率升至3.64%，较前值3.625%上行0.015个百分点；通胀仍顽固在3.2%，市场押注美联储更鹰，4月加息概率升至35%。

5

Mar 2026

在中东紧张局势和强劲的美国就业数据影响下，英镑/美元下跌，英镑对美元走弱

英镑兑美元周四跌至1.3337，受中东紧张与美非农前数据韧性压制。但美就业降温、英工资强推升看涨期权与波动率，对冲需求走高。

5

Mar 2026

丰业银行策略师称，美国市场正等待将影响美联储前景的数据，以迎接3月FOMC会议

重磅数据将揭晓：就业与通胀偏强压制降息，美联储静默期放大不确定。市场已把首降推迟至7月后，利率期权与曲线套利成新焦点。

5

Mar 2026

诺德亚银行的扬·冯·格里希预计欧洲央行将维持利率不变，并关注中东紧张局势对欧元区经济增长和通胀的影响

中东冲突再掀变数！北欧联合银行称欧洲央行或先按兵不动观望；若能源高价持续、就业紧俏与服务通胀顽固，明年下半年加息仍主线，但提前收紧概率上升。

5

Mar 2026

在风险规避情绪与强劲美国数据的背景下，美元走强，推动澳元/美元下跌至0.7010附近

AUD/USD 跌至0.7010：澳洲贸易顺差骤降拖累澳元；美国就业与服务业数据强劲撑美元。地缘冲突升温推避险，市场聚焦非农与零售。

5

Mar 2026

美国EIA天然气库存减少1320亿立方英尺，2月提取量低于预期的1220亿立方英尺

EIA称天然气库存超预期大降132Bcf，揭示供需更紧：可用库存仅1550Bcf、较五年均值低30%+，LNG出口增叠加寒潮，波动或放大，做多/买看涨期权受关注。

5

Mar 2026

英镑兑美元走弱，中东紧张局势与强劲的美国就业数据拖累英镑

中东冲突升温叠加美元走强，英镑/美元跌至1.3337，NFP前市场谨慎。波动率回落更宜卖期权；英镑经济偏弱，可用铁秃鹰或熊市价差布局。

5

Mar 2026

一段视频回顾了他私人网络研讨会对标普500的看空展望，随后指数下跌了166点

标普500再现2025式看跌A-B-C：动能衰竭、非农降温压情绪。盯紧7150支撑，跌破或开启C浪，目标6980。期权可买4月虚值put或卖7280上方call价差。

5

Mar 2026

道明证券称，加拿大央行权衡油价、国内需求与贸易风险；第一季度GDP成为关键因素

油价飙升会救加拿大经济吗？TD称央行权衡贸易不确定、油价与需求：Q1 GDP若远低1%或引发降息预期；核心CPI决定加元与利率波动。

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