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9

Mar 2026

欧元/英镑在下跌后徘徊于0.8670附近，受疲弱的德国工业生产数据支撑；稍后关注Sentix数据

欧元兑英镑跌后反弹至0.8670，但德国订单与产出暴雷削弱欧元；油价推高英国通胀令英银更难降息。政策分歧扩大，做空EUR/GBP机会来了。

9

Mar 2026

中东危机加剧推高油价，并提振美元在全球外汇市场走强

中东危机引爆开盘波动，霍尔木兹风险促海湾国家减产，油价一度飙破114后回吐；美元走强、美股期货回落，黄金走弱，市场全看头条。

9

Mar 2026

荷兰合作银行分析师称，对伊朗战争的担忧推高美元避险买盘，即使利差收窄，仍支撑美元/加元（USD/CAD）走势

伊朗战事升温推高避险需求，美元撑住USD/CAD。虽美加利差料收窄至75bp压汇价，但预计横盘；隐波偏高利卖权利金，警惕急冲1.40风险。

9

Mar 2026

中东局势升级之际，风险厌恶情绪抑制高风险资产需求，欧元/美元维持在1.1540附近

中东战事升级推升避险，美指走强、标普期货挫近2%，欧元/美元受压守1.1540附近；油价飙升加剧欧区通胀忧虑，市场静待周三美国2月CPI定方向。

9

Mar 2026

Par Petroleum 2025年12月季度营收18.1亿美元，同比下降1%，每股盈利升至1.17美元

Par Petroleum季报营收超预期但EPS小幅失色；华盛顿炼油毛利亮眼、裂解价差走强，惟怀俄明成本飙升成隐忧。波动或被低估，跨式/看跌信用价差布局。

9

Mar 2026

丹斯克银行称，中东紧张局势扰乱产量与霍尔木兹海峡航运，油价飙升至116美元

中东战事升级引爆供应冲击，布伦特隔夜飙25%至116美元；霍尔木兹海峡停航拖累全球五分之一流量。OVX或冲80，美SPR难完全稳价，通航成关键。

9

Mar 2026

Bob Savage报道：金价下跌3%，终结连续五周涨势，受美元走强及油价大幅飙升影响

能源冲击来袭：黄金连涨止步周跌3%，美元飙1.7%创四年最强；油价逾20%、天然气逾50%大涨，债券遭抛售，降息预期降温、欧盟加息风险升。

9

Mar 2026

德国经季节性调整的月度工厂订单在1月大幅下滑，从7.8%降至负11.1%

德国1月工厂订单崩跌11.1%逆转前月升势，PMI滑至43.5；欧元或转弱、DAX承压。投资者可用EUR/USD与DAX看跌期权及做多德债对冲。

9

Mar 2026

德国工业产出同比下滑1.2%，按工作日调整口径较前值0.6%跌幅进一步扩大

德国工业生产跌幅扩大至-1.2%，经济走弱加深。制造业PMI续处收缩，能源成本高企挤压利润。投资者宜转防守：对冲DAX下行，并警惕欧元走弱风险。

9

Mar 2026

德国经季节调整的工业产出1月环比下降0.5%，不及预期的0.9%增长

德国1月工业产出意外跌0.5%（预期+0.9%），欧洲核心降温冲击DAX。ECB更偏鸽，欧元或承压；波动或升，可关注DAX/欧元看跌与VSTOXX机会。

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