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Live Updates

10

Mar 2026

WTI徘徊在85.50美元附近，尽管波动加剧仍守住涨幅，霍尔木兹海峡受扰恐威胁原油供应

WTI 震荡回落至 85.50 美元，但霍尔木兹封锁牵动全球约两成供应。产油国减产、IEA 释储与外交破局消息交织，期权波动飙升，跨式/宽跨式成捕捉双向行情利器。

10

Mar 2026

ING的克里斯·特纳表示，欧元/美元守住1.1500；油价驱动利率重新定价利好欧元/英镑，互换利差收窄

欧元兑美元顶住1.1500！期权风险逆转显示看跌保护需求降温。能源冲击推动利率重估，欧元利率升幅胜美元，2年利差收窄至-75bp，1.1650成初步阻力。

10

Mar 2026

1月意大利月度生产者物价指数（PPI）升至1.5%，前值为-0.7%

意大利1月PPI环比跳升1.5%，扭转前月跌势，批发通胀回温或推高欧元区CPI。德债息升、市场押注欧央行转鹰；留意利率上行、股市对冲与欧元看涨机会。

10

Mar 2026

意大利1月生产者物价指数（PPI）年增率降至-1.6%，前值为-1.4%

意大利1月PPI年跌扩大至-1.6%，通缩警报再响：需求转弱或拖累CPI，逼ECB更早降息。市场押注6月降息逾70%；欧元承压，股市对冲与反弹机会并存。

10

Mar 2026

2026年，在2025年飙升75%后，KOSPI再涨25%但面临波动，后市涨势能否延续引关注

韩股KOSPI两年狂飙后突发剧震：油价破100美元、权重股回撤、衍生品与外资放大波动；估值仍偏低但两日跌近20%，熊市隐忧浮现。

10

Mar 2026

德国商业银行称，布伦特油价一度飙升至每桶120美元，随后在特朗普暗示伊朗冲突即将解决后回落

油价暴冲又急跌：布伦特一度飙28%逼近120美元，特朗普称伊朗冲突或快解决后回落逾15%仍收高。G7备援供给；期权、跨式/价差控波动风险。

10

Mar 2026

哈德曼指出，随着特朗普缓解中东紧张忧虑、油价大幅回落，美元走弱

特朗普降温中东风险，油价从高位回落叠加欧美英偏鹰派令利差收窄，美元支撑动摇。MUFG料冲突仅持续数周，建议以期权布局DXY回落、欧元英镑走强。

10

Mar 2026

卡斯滕·布热斯基表示，1月出口和进口大幅下滑，削弱对德国2026年复苏预期的乐观情绪

德国1月进出口双降、顺差飙至212亿欧元：美国关税叠加中国需求疲弱与稀土依赖，欧元承压、德债或受追捧，二季宜偏防守。

10

Mar 2026

黄金在欧洲时段延续温和涨势，但风险偏好回升使其仍低于5,200美元

中东紧张推升避险，金价反弹但受制5,200美元下方。油价因霍尔木兹风险回升，通胀与降息预期添变数。CPI/PCE成短线引爆点，5,010为关键枢轴。

10

Mar 2026

德国商业银行（Commerzbank）克里斯托夫·里格尔（Christoph Rieger）称，市场现已计入欧洲央行（ECB）更强硬的抗通胀立场以及未来更高利率预期

油价冲击后，市场押注ECB更鹰：6月加息概率60%、年底收紧33bp，紧缩或拖到2026。但核心通胀温和、增长下修与利差扩张，或令加息预期过头。

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