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Live Updates

11

Mar 2026

在美元走强及美国国债收益率上升压制上行动能下，金价维持在5,200美元下方

黄金冲高回落至约5,180美元，美元与美债收益率施压。CPI符合预期，联储料按兵不动。关注5,139支撑、5,200阻力；GVZ降至16，考虑牛市价差搏突破。

11

Mar 2026

ING的Tukker和Schroeder表示，欧元区利率走势取决于能源因素，市场已计入欧洲央行2026年加息预期，前景仍不明朗

欧元利率走势紧盯能源：油价下跌将削弱2026年ECB加息预期、压低2年期；若布伦特守95美元，短端或先升后降，滞胀风险促曲线趋平。

11

Mar 2026

欧元/英镑承压徘徊，交易员力挺英镑：油价忧虑下重新评估欧洲央行与英央行政策走势

EUR/GBP连跌五日逼近0.8628低位。美伊油价冲击推高通胀，或迫英银延后降息；欧央行偏鹰但支撑不足。政策分化扩大，汇价料续弱，可用看跌期权布局。

11

Mar 2026

加拿大皇家银行经济研究称：石油仍支撑加拿大经济，推高企业盈利但削弱家庭购买力

油价飙升也未必拖垮加拿大？油气业虽缩水仍撑GDP与出口；通胀传导慢、加元跟涨力弱。策略：做多能源、做空可选消费，或卖波动率。

11

Mar 2026

风险偏好改善提振澳元，澳洲联储措辞偏鹰；市场计入3月加息概率，华侨银行料5月行动

澳元为何突涨？风险情绪回暖叠加RBA转鹰，3月加息定价再加8bp；能源高价推升LNG与煤炭出口、改善贸易条件，市场仍押注5月行动。

11

Mar 2026

国际能源署：32个成员一致同意向市场释放4亿桶石油储备，规模史无前例

重磅！IEA史上最大协调释储4亿桶冲击油市：短期压低WTI、波动率或飙升；但中东风险与需求偏强、库存下降，跌幅未必大，期权跨式与日历价差受关注。

11

Mar 2026

道明证券报告：2月美国CPI符合预期，核心与“超级核心”通胀较1月关税冲击降温

美国2月CPI符预期，核心与“超级核心”通胀明显降温；关税转嫁压力减弱。展望3月，油价推升能源通胀，同比或近3%，10年美债收益率料4.0%–4.3%震荡。

11

Mar 2026

美国能源信息署（EIA）报告称，3月初原油库存增加382.4万桶，高于预期的110万桶

EIA爆冷：美国原油库存猛增382.4万桶，远超预期110万桶。高产量+炼厂检修+汽油需求降，压制WTI与布伦特；看跌策略与跨期价差更受捧。

11

Mar 2026

在接近24,300遭拒后，Nifty触发艾略特波浪破位，按预测下跌约400点

Nifty冲不过24,300即急挫400点至23,900附近，符合艾略特波浪反转预期。VIX飙升推高期权成本，外资连5日净卖出；关注23,500支撑与到期波动。

11

Mar 2026

荷兰合作银行称，WTI油价自120美元峰值回落，但受海湾地区减产及改道运力受限支撑仍保持坚挺

WTI自120美元回落但供应仍紧：霍尔木兹关闭滞留1400万桶/日，改道后仍缺750万桶/日。G7+中国释1亿桶压抑涨幅，油价料回80美元区间，波动高。

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