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by VT Markets
Oct 15, 2026
美元指数（DXY）周三上涨0.69%至102.90，创下自2025年4月以来最高水平。此前，9月通胀数据高于市场预期，盖过了美联储近期“2027年无需加息”的指引。整体CPI环比上涨0.6%，同比增速由3.4%加快至3.7%。核心CPI环比上升0.3%，同比由2.4%升至2.6%；其中住房与业主等价租金成本上升，同时休闲、教育与二手车价格也录得涨幅；燃油与食品则支撑整体通胀读数。
利率预期迅速调整。根据Prime Terminal数据，10月加息的隐含概率从前一日接近22%跳升至42%，市场亦为2027年计入54个基点的紧缩幅度。美债收益率走高，10年期升至5.251%（上升3.5个基点），2年期升至4.865%（上升近7个基点）。市场焦点接下来将转向褐皮书、PPI、零售销售、首次申领失业救济人数以及更多美联储官员讲话；技术面指标显示DXY约在102.87，RSI（14）为71.85，支撑位分别在102.87、101.84与100.25。
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