by VT Markets
Oct 21, 2026
加拿大央行在下次决策前面临更紧的增长—通胀权衡。加拿大全国第三季度《商业前景调查》显示，截至8月经营状况更为坚挺，但在加美贸易谈判破裂后，情绪转弱。期间通胀预期上移，使政策前景更为复杂；同时，随着债券收益率上升以及企业与家庭借贷成本走高，金融环境也在收紧。
在央行行长发表偏鹰派言论后，市场对10月行动的定价趋强，但最新数据释放出分化信号。9月CPI显示核心通胀指标平均为1.9%，而另一项消费者调查则指向更疲弱的消费意愿。
某大型银行的基准情景仍维持“直至2027年不加息”，但也承认风险平衡更偏向于提前转向，最早可能就在下次会议。
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