by VT Markets
Jul 27, 2026
EUR/USD 在7月最后一周开局报 1.1369，仍贴近6月底创下的月内低点。上周五能源价格小幅回落，缓和了市场对美联储在周二至周三会议上加息的预期；但市场仍计入年内至少还有一次加息。随着美伊冲突再度升级，通胀风险上升；同时，对波斯湾与红海油轮通行的限制推高了原油与燃料价格。
美国数据也为美元提供支撑：标普（S&P）PMI 显示私人部门活动增长为今年以来最快；初领失业救济人数下降速度则创近60年来最快。
在 H4 图表上，EUR/USD 正在 1.1336–1.1413 区间内、围绕 1.1389 进行盘整；若向上突破，意味着先出现修正反弹至 1.1420，随后回落至 1.1313；若向下跌破，则直接指向 1.1313，MACD 偏空。H1 方面，该货币对触及 1.1414 后在下方形成区间；所描绘路径为先到 1.1390，再到 1.1420，随后回到 1.1370，并可能进一步下探 1.1313；随机指标（Stochastic）转为下行。
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