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by VT Markets
Aug 27, 2026
欧元连续第二个交易日走弱，在本周初未能站稳1.1700上方后，欧洲时段推动欧元/美元（EUR/USD）跌至低于1.1650的周内低位。美国更强劲的个人消费支出（PCE）通胀数据为美元提供支撑，巩固了美联储进一步收紧政策的理据。尽管如此，根据CME Group的FedWatch工具，市场对9月加息的隐含概率基本持平于36%，投资者正等待周五美联储主席沃什在杰克逊霍尔会议上的讲话。
在欧元区方面，德国GfK消费者信心指数意外好于预期，呼应了本周早些时候德国第二季度GDP上修以及IFO商业景气指数走强，但欧元的市场反应有限。周四晚些时候，欧洲央行将公布最新一次会议纪要。另据报告引用的背景数据，2022年欧元在全球外汇交易量中的占比为31%，日均成交额超过2.2万亿美元；其中欧元/美元估计占所有交易的30%，其次为欧元/日元4%、欧元/英镑3%以及欧元/澳元2%。欧洲央行的通胀参考点为2%。
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