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by VT Markets
Sep 24, 2026
挪威央行（Norges Bank）将政策利率上调25个基点至4.5%，并把政策利率路径上调，指出未来六个月内再度加息的概率为40%。央行指引显示，2028年前不会降息，意味着即使短期利率走向仍取决于数据，货币政策也可能在较长时间内维持紧缩立场。
在最新预测中，挪威央行预计本土经济增长将维持在约1%，略低于潜在增速，同时失业率预计将温和上升。
该行认为，自6月以来通胀前景整体变化不大，尽管夏季通胀走低且挪威克朗（NOK）略为走强；同时也提及外部冲击增强，例如能源与大宗商品价格的影响。
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