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About: josephine

Recent Posts by josephine

由于霍尔木兹海峡运输保持畅通、限制油价上行，且CTA抛售接近尾声，WTI持续承压

WTI受霍尔木兹高流量与CTA抛压压制，但海湾浮仓急减、库存加速去化，裂解价差坚挺支撑需求。抛售近尾声，7–8月逢低布局看涨期权。

Written on June 25, 2026 at 9:06 am
Categories: Live Updates

墨西哥6月中旬通胀回落推升市场对央行降息预期，削弱比索利差吸引力

Neon-lit policy document being signed with a glowing pen, with a neon stock-chart backdrop in blue and pink.

墨西哥6月上半月CPI意外转负-0.11%，较预期高差0.21个百分点，通胀降温信号强。降息预期升温：可收固定TIIE押利率下行；比索利差承压，考虑买USD/MXN看涨期权。

Written on June 25, 2026 at 9:01 am
Categories: Live Updates

日元随美日利差扩大而下滑推升美元，美元兑日元逼近40年高位

3D glass Yen symbol glowing in blue and pink neon over a reflective surface on a dark gradient background.

日元再探40年低位，美元/日元逼近162！美日巨大利差撑起套息交易，口头干预难扭转。若美联储再加息或冲165，期权布局更稳。

Written on June 25, 2026 at 8:57 am
Categories: Live Updates

渣打预测巴西央行（BCB）将在第三季暂停下调Selic利率，料于2026年底恢复降息

3D architectural model of a modern multi-story building on a platform, lit in pink and blue neon against a dark background.

通胀黏着、需求韧性强，渣打潘丹料巴西央行放慢降息，Selic Q3暂停、2026年Q4再降；利率上修至2026年底13.75%、2027年底11.75%。套利雷亚尔机会升温。

Written on June 25, 2026 at 8:56 am
Categories: Live Updates

墨西哥6月中旬通胀回落推升市场押注央行降息，削弱比索收益率吸引力

Neon-lit policy document being signed with a glowing pen, with a neon stock-chart backdrop in blue and pink.

墨西哥6月上半月CPI意外跌0.11%，较预期高0.21pct的落差点燃降息猜想。利率或下行，TIIE互换收固定可布局；比索利差承压，USD/MXN看涨期权对冲更稳。

Written on June 25, 2026 at 8:55 am
Categories: Live Updates

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