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About: josephine

Recent Posts by josephine

黄金走低，特朗普重提伊朗威胁，推高美联储加息预期并考验金市需求

Gold bars stacked inside a clear display case resting on a digital weighing scale, with neon purple-blue lighting.

美伊停火破局、霍尔木兹风险升温，金价亚洲盘回落至约4,075美元。市场押注美联储或再加息、美元走强压金；但央行持续扫货托底，波动恐加剧。

Written on July 9, 2026 at 5:28 am
Categories: Live Updates

RICS房价平衡指数6月下滑至-33%，加剧英镑压力并推高降息押注

Glowing neon euro symbol beside a stock chart with pink and blue candlesticks and bars.

RICS英国6月房价差值跌至-33%低于预期，楼市加速降温。降息预期升温令英镑承压，或看1.24；房建商与银行股转弱，可用期权与利率衍生品对冲。

Written on July 9, 2026 at 5:27 am
Categories: Live Updates

美元需求上升，台湾元持续承压；央行出手遏制跌势

Stack of bills illuminated by pink and blue neon on a dark surface, with Benjamin Franklin’s portrait visible on the front side of the banknotes.

台币跌破32背后不是基本面转弱，而是外资卖股与股利季抢美元；央行促银行集中卖汇增供给。技术面仍偏多但超买，关注32.22/32.50-60阻力与31.95支撑，策略可卖波动率。

Written on July 9, 2026 at 4:58 am
Categories: Live Updates

英镑持稳于1.3400下方，因市场上调对英央行“忧油”立场的押注且期权波动率收敛

Neon euro symbol glowing in blue and pink beside a stock chart and bar graph, symbolizing currency markets.

英镑/美元徘徊1.3400下方，200日均线受压；油价飙升推高英央行加息预期，但英美利差有限令波动率压缩。策略：短卖宽跨收权利金，长买跨押注CPI后突破。

Written on July 9, 2026 at 4:28 am
Categories: Live Updates

WTI原油升破74美元，霍尔木兹冲突再燃推升战争溢价，期权需求升温

霍尔木兹海峡冲突升温推WTI反弹至74.5美元，战争溢价或结构化。技术阻力76-77.5，支撑72。建议用8-9月78-80看涨期权/牛市价差控风险。

Written on July 9, 2026 at 4:27 am
Categories: Live Updates

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