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About: josephine

Recent Posts by josephine

美国建筑许可不及预期，加剧楼市活动降温迹象

Futuristic scene of a translucent hand signing a document labeled POLICY with a syringe‑like pen; a glowing chart is visible in the background.

美国6月建筑许可回升至136.7万份却低于预期，住房降温信号再起。高借贷成本施压，或推升降息押注，关注TLT、SOFR、ITB期权及木材空头。

Written on July 17, 2026 at 3:57 pm
Categories: Live Updates

美国新屋开工量达142.7万套，超预期提振美债收益率，利好房屋建商股及美元交易

Transparent glass panel with a glowing dollar symbol overlaid on colorful stock charts in the background, conveying finance/markets.

美国6月新屋开工飙至142.7万套，远超预期，楼市韧性重燃。国债收益率或上行：可短债做空、TLT买沽；XHB买购；木材铜看多，美元偏强。

Written on July 17, 2026 at 3:28 pm
Categories: Live Updates

美国进口价格6月上升，助长“利率更高更久”押注与美元走强预期

Neon-glow outline of a dollar bill on a dark surface, with reflection.

美国6月进口价格指数环比意外升0.3%（预期跌0.7%），输入型通胀再敲警钟！利率或更久维持高位：看空SOFR、买美债认沽，并布局美元与VIX。

Written on July 17, 2026 at 3:27 pm
Categories: Live Updates

美国6月出口价格下跌0.6%，强化降息预期并拖累美元

Stack of bills illuminated by pink and blue neon on a dark surface, with Benjamin Franklin’s portrait visible on the front side of the banknotes.

意外利空：美国6月出口价格指数按月跌0.6%，差过预期0.4%。全球需求降温、通胀缓解，或为联储更早降息铺路；利率期货、长债与美元期权留意机会。

Written on July 17, 2026 at 2:58 pm
Categories: Live Updates

美国新屋开工反弹引发押注收益率走高，提振房屋建筑商股，美元与铜交易走强

Neon-lit $100 bill overlaid with a rising stock chart, symbolizing financial growth. A neon chart colors the bill to suggest market gains.

美国6月新屋开工月增19%强势反转，暗示通胀黏性与降息延后。策略：做空10年期国债、买XHB看涨；同时布局DXY看涨与铜多头，捕捉利率与建材行情。

Written on July 17, 2026 at 2:57 pm
Categories: Live Updates

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