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About: josephine

Recent Posts by josephine

道指下挫，10年期美债收益率突破5%，油价飙升，芯片股跌势延续

Futuristic holographic data dashboard with purple and blue charts: left line graph, right bar chart, on a glass desk surface.

美债10年期收益率破5%重估估值，道指跌穿52,400点、纳指挫1%；芯片AI热降温叠加沙特管线中断推高油价。美联储加息在即，防御与看跌策略升温。

Written on September 14, 2026 at 10:19 pm
Categories: Live Updates

法国兴业银行警告：中东航运风险或令欧元区核心商品通胀持续高企

Neon-lit glass signing plate with a pen poised to sign, featuring parallel grooves and a signature line beneath.

中东局势叠加疫后与俄乌冲击，欧元区供应链风险再升温。法兴改造GSCPI指向航运瓶颈与通胀黏性延续，建议加码1-2年通胀互换、调整€STR仓位，并布局EUR/USD看涨。

Written on September 14, 2026 at 10:18 pm
Categories: Live Updates

日元在日本央行决议前走软；市场计入加息预期，焦点转向经济数据

Futuristic holographic data dashboards on a blue podium, with a central panel showing a red circle and surrounding charts.

日圆兑美元跌0.7%领跌G10，市场押注日银会议“利好兑现”。关注152-153支撑、155上方阻力；贸易与CPI将推升波动，期权可布局对冲与突破。

Written on September 14, 2026 at 9:19 pm
Categories: Live Updates

随着隔夜指数掉期（OIS）与记者会主导走势，美联储声明对美元波动的影响力减弱

Futuristic transparent money safe with a dollar symbol, surrounded by neon stock charts and graphs.

还盯声明？研究追踪30年FOMC发现：在“政策冲击”下前瞻指引最能撬动美元，但鲍威尔时代效力下滑；2024起美元波动62%改由OIS与发布会定价，宜布局尾盘短期限权。

Written on September 14, 2026 at 9:18 pm
Categories: Live Updates

道明证券指出：在沙特与俄罗斯袭击持续支撑供应风险溢价之际，CTA原油多头持仓已达上限

CTA在原油与成品油已满仓净多，沙特管道受袭或停运3至5周、俄炼厂被打推升风险溢价；油价上行靠现货紧缺，期权与跨期价差可布局。

Written on September 14, 2026 at 8:19 pm
Categories: Live Updates

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