今日分析

8

Oct 2026

日经225指数延续跌势，油价上涨与利率担忧拖累日本股市

日经225徘徊69,520、失守70,000动能不足；油价高企推升通胀预期，叠加日央行利率路径不明与美债收益率高位，69,500支撑成多空分水岭。

8

Oct 2026

美指徘徊于18个月高位附近，FOMC会议纪要支撑美元走强

FOMC纪要释放“高利率更久”信号，通胀粘性令再加息预期犹存。美元指数逼近18个月高位后回落至101.986，102心理关口成多空分水岭，欧元日元波动牵动走向。

6

Oct 2026

欧元反弹，尽管法国债务风险仍未消退

欧元兑美元自1.12134反弹逼近1.123阻力，短线多头回暖；若失守1.12200或回测1.12150。美债收益率与美联储预期主导美元，法国财政风险压制欧元。

5

Oct 2026

在疲弱非农就业数据推动美债收益率下行后，黄金测试4,210美元

爆点：9月非农仅增2.9万、失业率升至4.2%，加息预期降温，10月加息概率仅18%。金价冲高4210未稳，后续看通胀与官员表态。

5

Oct 2026

纳斯达克100指数测试31,000点，疲弱非农数据削弱美联储加息押注

非农爆冷触发利率预期急转：9月新增2.9万、失业率升至4.2%，10月加息定价降至22.7%。纳指走强但NAS100受制3.1万，通胀与官员表态成下一催化。

2

Oct 2026

美国股指期货走高，标普500指数在就业数据公布前维持在7,680点附近

非农前夜，标普500徘徊7680点枢轴区。市场押注9月新增就业约9万、失业率4.1%；10年期美债收益率冲5.34%叠加油价扰动，左右美联储紧缩预期与指数方向。

1

Oct 2026

美光股价在创纪录的第四财季盈利及强劲AI前景推动下徘徊于1,067美元附近

美光财报与指引双超预期：2026财年Q4营收542.3亿美元、经调整EPS 33.42美元；AI驱动DRAM/HBM需求，2027财年Q1营收600-630亿美元，股价围绕1064-1073美元博弈。

1

Oct 2026

道琼斯指数（DJ30）：美国非农就业数据公布前需关注的关键点位

道指回升至51076点，逼近区间上沿；短线关注51080-51160阻力。周五非农或重塑加息预期与美债收益率，主导后续方向选择。

30

Sep 2026

黄金在美国最终GDP数据公布前升至4,150美元

黄金回落至4171美元附近仍守4150关键支撑，短线震荡聚焦美国GDP终值。数据若上修或推升美元及美债收益率，金价承压；偏弱则强化降息预期。

30

Sep 2026

澳元兑美元跌破0.6965，澳大利亚CPI不及预期

澳洲CPI不及预期引爆抛压：AUDUSD失守0.6965并下探0.6960，市场下调RBA进一步紧缩定价；若难收复枢轴位，或续指向0.6950支撑。

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