今日分析

30

Mar 2026

比特币守在6.7万美元附近，市场聚焦加密新规

美国劳工部拟为401(k)设“流程式安全港”，受托人可按审慎框架评估比特币等另类资产。BTC报67,505。利好长期机构化，但资金未必立刻涌入。

30

Mar 2026

油价守在100美元上方，供应风险加剧

中东冲突升温、霍尔木兹受阻，WTI守100美元、布油115美元月飙近60%。沙特600万桶/日管道成救命线却恐遇袭，油价与通胀风险再升级。

29

Mar 2026

金价守在4,550美元附近，美元转弱

黄金探底反弹至4550美元，但3月仍暴跌15%创08年来最差；油价飙破115美元推高通胀，美联储降息预期转冷，金价反弹恐受限。

26

Mar 2026

澳元兑美元跌至两个月低点能源冲击冲击加剧

澳元兑美元跌至0.687两个月新低；中东冲突推高油价，通胀或冲4.5%至5%。市场押注RBA 5月加息68%，但利差缩小令澳元续压。

26

Mar 2026

标普500指数反弹，战争延后缓解压力

美股急跌后期货反弹：标普500挫1.74%，特朗普延后10天缓和地缘风险；但美债收益率与油价齐升，滞胀阴影笼罩，反弹恐仅技术性喘息。

26

Mar 2026

美元在高位附近暂歇，降息押注降温

美元涨后回吐，USDX回落至99.576；期货押注12月不加息升至64.4%。中东与油价反复搅局，央行预期分化，美元卡99-100.30，随时一破定方向。

26

Mar 2026

日元走弱，油价压力加剧

日元连跌三天，USDJPY逼近159.5！油价反弹与中东紧张推升避险美元，日本进口成本飙升压制日元；若突破160，官方干预与波动风险同步升温。

25

Mar 2026

油价持稳于89美元附近，价格上涨加剧政策风险

WTI守在89.27美元高位反弹，供应受扰与地缘风险撑价。更大悬念：高油价若拖长，通胀预期升温，央行或更鹰派、延后降息，金融压力加剧。

25

Mar 2026

日经指数跳涨，油价下跌缓解市场忧虑

油价回落+中东缓和预期点燃反弹！日经225飙2.93%至53,784，Topix升2.5%；东京海上获巴菲特加持涨9.8%，软银与AI股领涨，后市盯油价与地缘风险。

24

Mar 2026

特斯拉因应Terafab计划走高，押注200亿美元芯片项目

马斯克抛出Terafab半导体厂蓝图，TSLA冲上381美元。2026年设备开支200亿美元另加码，瞄准2027试产、2028量产；利多AI版图，仍存资金与执行风险。

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