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今日分析

10

Jul 2026

铜价涨势延续，市场焦点转向美联储政策信号

铜价CFD逼近6.30美元，延续6月低点反弹并有望连涨两周；风险偏好回升主导，突破阻力看6.35-6.45；警惕美联储鹰派及6.24失守。

10

Jul 2026

百事公司股价下跌：北美需求疲软盖过营收超预期表现

百事Q2营收同比增6.4%胜预期，却因北美有机收入降0.5%、饮料销量跌4%引发抛压，PEP回落至138美元；关注138.75阻力与134.70支撑。

9

Jul 2026

英镑兑美元在风险情绪转趋谨慎之际持稳于1.3400附近

油价飙升难撼汇市：美伊再度紧张推升布油，美元指数波动有限，GBPUSD于1.3400附近企稳；英国政局与财政取向不确定性压制上行动能，关注1.3405阻力与1.3385支撑。

9

Jul 2026

英伟达反弹，AI板块轮动重置估值

英伟达预期市盈率降至22.22倍、逼近2019低位，但2026财年营收同比增65%。AI主题资金轮动压缩估值，股价204美元徘徊，关注205.2阻力与200支撑。

8

Jul 2026

原油上涨，伊朗制裁加剧霍尔木兹海峡供应风险

突发：美国撤销伊朗原油通用许可证并缩短清算期，叠加霍尔木兹航运遇袭风险，WTI冲破71美元上行；但OPEC+增产与海湾出口回升或压制风险溢价。

7

Jul 2026

纽元/美元持稳于0.5700附近，市场对新西兰联储加息预期分化

RBNZ决议临近，NZDUSD徘徊0.5700。市场押注OCR或上调25bp至2.50%，但本土银行分歧。关键看前瞻指引：0.5726阻力、0.5680支撑，突破或引发趋势切换。

7

Jul 2026

受三星股票抛售拖累科技板块，日经指数回落

三星急跌引发区域半导体抛压，日经225失守6.9万点并逼近6.8万支撑；资金轮动至银行、汽车等价值板块，TOPIX相对抗跌，关注6.9万反弹关口。

6

Jul 2026

美国10年期国债收益率在美联储会议纪要公布前小幅下行

美债10年期收益率回落至4.47%附近，弱于预期的6月非农及前值下修压降再度加息定价；聚焦FOMC纪要与拍卖，4.44%支撑、4.50%阻力成关键。

6

Jul 2026

布伦特原油徘徊于数月低位附近，OPEC+上调产量配额

供给宽松预期升温：OPEC+8月再上调产量目标18.8万桶/日，海湾出口修复叠加需求承压，布伦特油价徘徊72美元，关注71.70支撑与72.60阻力。

3

Jul 2026

日元维持涨势，干预风险犹存

日元兑美元守住反弹，美元/日元回落至161附近；弱于预期的美国就业数据压低加息预期。日本财务大臣警示“过度波动”或干预，假期流动性偏薄推升波动。

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