by VT Markets
Oct 21, 2026
英国失业率已降至13个月低点，而平均薪资小幅走高，进一步强化市场对英格兰银行（BoE）11月将利率上调至4%的预期。职位空缺同比下降5.1%，但实际与名义薪资总体保持稳定；同时油价攀升至5月以来最高水平，令货币政策委员会（MPC）持续承压。英国CPI将于明日公布，为短期利率预期再添关键变量。
英镑受到更稳健的英国宏观环境与英银政策前景支撑，使英镑相对美元与欧元略占优势。持仓数据显示，CFTC空头敞口有所累积，可能面临空头回补风险；而年底季节性因素也可能在下周秋季预算案公布后重新主导走势。技术面方面，所提及关键水平包括：1.3270为支撑、1.3400为阻力；欧元/英镑方面，0.8393为支撑位，进一步支撑在0.8370。
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