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by VT Markets
Oct 15, 2026
RBI 的措施已帮助遏制投机活动并支撑印度卢比，央行行长也释放出对进一步行动持开放态度的信号，使市场在重建做空卢比（short-INR）仓位时更加谨慎。尽管如此，USD/INR 曾短暂跌破 95 随后反转，因为更强势的美元与高企的油价打断了卢比的反弹动能。强于预期的美国 CPI 推动美元与美债收益率走高，进一步强化了市场观点：国内监管举措可在短期内缓解压力，但无法完全让汇价免受外部逆风影响。
技术面显示，在连续四个交易日累计下跌近 2% 后，USD/INR 的下行节奏可能放缓。日线动能已转为偏空，RSI 也已下滑，不过 RSI 的放缓以及隔夜价格表现暗示卖压或正在缓和。关键支撑位在 94.70，其次为 94.20；阻力位则看向 95.60 附近以及 96。更为持续的卢比回升，被视为取决于油价出现一定程度回落以及美元走弱。
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