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by VT Markets
Oct 12, 2026
澳元延续周度涨势，周五上涨0.38%，全周累计上扬0.58%。在市场预期美联储10月将维持利率不变之际，美元回吐部分涨幅。AUD/USD 收于约0.6983；美元指数（DXY）上涨0.12%至102.73。美国消费者信心走弱，10月指数报46.3，低于前值48.1，也不及市场共识47.6，尽管通胀预期小幅走高：一年期通胀预期从4.6%升至4.7%，五年期从3.4%升至3.5%。
FOMC会议纪要显示，市场普遍支持加息，但在“加息是否仅为预防性举措”或“是否意味着新一轮紧缩周期启动”方面出现分歧；官员们在劳动力市场依然强劲的同时，重申对通胀的担忧。根据 Prime Terminal 数据，货币市场定价显示：10月不加息的概率为81%，但12月加息25个基点的概率同样为81%。
展望下周，市场焦点将转向澳洲联储（RBA）会议纪要与澳大利亚就业数据；美国方面则聚焦CPI与PPI，随后是零售销售、美联储官员讲话以及就业数据。
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