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by VT Markets
Sep 24, 2026
欧元周四交投于约1.1380，接近两个月低位；在不到两周内累计下跌近2%后仍承压。压力主要来自更强劲的美国数据、美国国债收益率走高，以及原油价格反弹。美国标普（S&P）PMI初值显示，商业活动以逾五年来最快速度扩张；随着能源成本上升带动投入价格跳涨，就业与薪资也快速增长。
市场亦消化美联储进一步收紧政策的信号，政策表述聚焦于将通胀带回2%。一场反应欠佳的美国五年期国债拍卖推动收益率上行，作为基准的10年期美债收益率升破5%至5.135%，创19年来新高，支撑美元走强。
油价亦带来额外逆风：价格自周二低点反弹约5%，布伦特报98.50美元并逼近100美元。此类组合可能拖累欧元区增长，同时令通胀前景更趋复杂。美联储每年透过联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）召开八次议息会议，委员会由12名官员组成，并可透过量化宽松（QE）或量化紧缩（QT）来影响金融环境与美元走势。
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