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by VT Markets
Sep 23, 2026
在短短一周多的时间里，欧洲央行（ECB）、美国联邦储备局（Fed）与日本央行（BoJ）相继升息，而英格兰银行（BoE）则按兵不动。欧洲央行把存款利率上调至2.50%，并表示能源成本上升可能令通胀在2027年之前的较长时间里维持在其2%目标之上。在美国，联储再度加息25个基点，并释放出更陡峭的政策利率路径信号；日本央行也加息25个基点至1.25%，继续退出超宽松政策设置。
各央行的政策讯号趋于一致，聚焦于“第二轮效应”——能源冲击如何通过工资、定价行为与通胀预期传导至核心通胀。英伦银行将利率维持在3.75%不变，但预计2027年初消费者价格涨幅将超过4%，并维持偏鹰派立场。官员们亦强调经济活动的韧性：欧洲央行指出消费、投资与服务业更为稳健；联储上调经济增长预测；英伦银行则把第三季度增长预测上修。日本方面称基础通胀正接近目标，在工资传导与通胀预期上升的支持下，进一步政策正常化具备条件。
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