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by VT Markets
Jul 16, 2026
英国5月GDP按月增长0.1%，优于市场一致预期的0%，并扭转4月-0.1%的跌幅；这一表现与英伦银行对第二季度基准预测的按季+0.1%一致。按月增长主要由服务业上升0.3%带动，而工业生产下滑-0.5%，建筑业下降-0.8%。在服务业内部，专业、科学与技术活动对实际GDP增幅贡献0.16个百分点。
利率定价显示市场预期进一步收紧，掉期曲线已完全计入11月将加息25个基点、把英伦银行基准利率（Bank Rate）上调至4.00%，并预计未来12个月累计上调50个基点，反映通胀仍具黏性。
外汇市场方面，英镑兑美元（GBP/USD）在1.3600附近面临阻力；同时，英镑被形容为在此前广泛上涨后进入整固阶段，上涨与政治预期变化有关，涉及Andy Burnham与Ed Miliband。文章并称内容由AI工具生成，并经编辑审核。
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