Monthly Archives: October 2026
美瑞走强，因美瑞两年期利差扩大，市场关注瑞郎利差交易风险
Written on October 26, 2026 at 4:41 am, by josephine
USD/CHF自10月初谨慎走强，受美瑞两年期利差4.642厘撑住，汇价回升至0.828。惟历史显示利差未必主导；瑞郎或分流日元融资，风险情绪左右波动。
澳元COT持仓触及纪录极端，天然气、英镑与铜价释放喜忧参半信号
Written on October 26, 2026 at 4:41 am, by josephine
澳元COT罕见双极端：大炒家与商业盘同步创历史纪录，暗示涨势或延伸但非择时。天然气长周期偏多；英镑短空长多；铜近强中长仍存偏空风险。
随着油价上涨，黄金徘徊在4,000美元附近；技术面警讯指向进一步走弱
Written on October 26, 2026 at 4:40 am, by josephine
金价失守4,100后守4,000成关键：美元强、收益率升压制反弹，矿业股转弱与银强金弱示警。短期恐续跌创新低；长期仍受地缘与印钞支撑。流动性紧张时贵金属或随股跌，债券5%收益更具吸引。
金价徘徊在4,000附近，铜价在触及关键技术目标后测试650水平
Written on October 26, 2026 at 4:39 am, by josephine
黄金、铜达技术目标后迎方向抉择：金测试4000，4036–4060缺口区由撑转压，待日周收盘确认；铜自637反弹挑战650–656，失守或指向625–629。
WTI涨势跑赢投机仓位布局，英镑空头缓和，日元多头仍拥挤
Written on October 26, 2026 at 3:44 am, by josephine
WTI续涨逼近102美元，但投机净持仓降至89.3K，价格与持仓严重背离，跌破94.14恐压反弹。外汇：英镑空单降、日圆多头拥挤，澳元极度悲观或触发报复性反弹。
美元/日元回落，跌势动能增强；156附近现“锤头线”提示反弹风险
Written on October 26, 2026 at 3:44 am, by josephine
美元兑日元周线跌0.74%仍守156.85，156附近锤子线或反弹；但RSI破50偏空，区间156-159震荡。破156.08恐加速下探155/152.89，反弹至157.57-159.35宜逢高做空。
澳元/美元重回0.7000，交易员聚焦澳洲联储收紧政策及0.7100阻力突破
Written on October 26, 2026 at 3:43 am, by josephine
澳元兑美元强势重返0.70，全周涨逾1.2%；RBA升息预期助攻多头，短线挑战0.7033–0.7074均线阻力，突破看0.71/0.715，跌破0.70恐回测0.6894。
尽管韩国央行维持偏鹰派立场不变，风险厌恶情绪回归令韩元涨幅收窄
Written on October 26, 2026 at 3:42 am, by josephine
韩元一度走强后随避险回吐；韩国央行守住3%并偏紧缩、称汇率被低估成利多。但全球风险情绪、科技与油价仍左右走势，关注1,320支撑及1,335/1,343阻力。
CFTC数据显示，原油投机客削减净多头仓位，显示看涨信心减弱
Written on October 26, 2026 at 3:42 am, by josephine
CFTC：原油投机净多头跌破10万关口至89.3K，单周减11K，杠杆资金加速退场。历史上或引发抛压与高波动，宜降多头、加强下行保护。
CFTC数据显示：随着看涨押注降温，投机者削减黄金期货净多头头寸
Written on October 26, 2026 at 3:41 am, by josephine
CFTC最新：黄金非商业净多头降至19.99万手（前值20.79万）。高位回落释放投机降温信号，若减仓持续，短线金价波动或加剧。
