Monthly Archives: September 2026

ING认为，由于低通胀令瑞郎政策维持宽松，瑞士央行将把利率维持在零水平

Neon-lit policy document being signed with a glowing pen, with a neon stock-chart backdrop in blue and pink.

Written on September 18, 2026 at 8:19 pm, by josephine

ING 料 SNB 下周维持利率 0% 并续鸽：通胀温和、瑞郎偏强且能源价回落。上调增长至 2026 年 1.9%。交易上瑞郎适合作融资货币，卖出欧瑞波动赚权利金。

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Categories: Live Updates

美联储加息后欧元/美元跌破1.1500，油价冲击风险重燃美元需求

Stack of bills illuminated by pink and blue neon on a dark surface, with Benjamin Franklin’s portrait visible on the front side of the banknotes.

Written on September 18, 2026 at 8:18 pm, by josephine

钩子：霍尔木兹一响，欧元要跌？美联储加息至3.75%–4.00%压制EUR/USD失守1.1500，通胀与油价风险推升再加息预期；关注PMI与官员讲话，期权偏向短Put/波动策略。

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Categories: Live Updates

英镑在低位附近企稳，英国零售销售回升推高市场对英格兰银行加息的押注

Glowing purple neon pound sterling symbol (£) on a dark glossy backdrop, reflecting on the floor.”,

Written on September 18, 2026 at 7:19 pm, by josephine

英镑/美元低位盘整，但英国8月零售意外转强点燃加息押注：11月加息25bp概率逼近90%，掉期仍指未来12个月再加约100bp，英镑支撑未稳。

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Categories: Live Updates

美元/加元在1.4000附近持稳，市场押注美联储加息推升美债收益率，油价反弹支撑加元

Neon-lit $100 bill overlaid with a rising stock chart, symbolizing financial growth. A neon chart colors the bill to suggest market gains.

Written on September 18, 2026 at 7:18 pm, by josephine

美元受美联储偏鹰与美债收益率反弹支撑，USD/CAD守1.4000上方；油价回升限制涨幅。关注BoC行长讲话与期权策略，捕捉波动并对冲回落风险。

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Categories: Live Updates

日元在日本央行加息后走软，美元企稳，黄金逼近4,400美元

Floating 10,000 yen banknote against a neon stock market chart backdrop with candlesticks and data points.

Written on September 18, 2026 at 6:19 pm, by josephine

日银加息后美元逼近158关键阻力，PBoC连8日压低中间价推CNH创新低；美债息回落但增长强，金银爆发。关注欧元期权与美加利差机会。

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Categories: Live Updates

北欧银行预计欧洲央行将在2027年加息两次、每次25个基点，能源成本上升推高市场定价

Futuristic scene of a translucent hand signing a document labeled POLICY with a syringe‑like pen; a glowing chart is visible in the background.

Written on September 18, 2026 at 6:18 pm, by josephine

能源飙升、中东不确定令市场押注更鹰派。Nordea仍料ECB按季度渐进，2026年12月与2027年3月各加25bp；短端极鹰派定价或带来Euribor与掉期权错价机会。

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Categories: Live Updates

日元跌破157关口，日本央行在投票分歧与CPI疲弱下加息至1.25%

Transparent futuristic payment card with yen symbol, surrounded by floating charts and numbers on a blue-pink gradient background)

Written on September 18, 2026 at 5:19 pm, by josephine

日央行升息至1.25%仍救不了日元！美元/日元冲破157，市场更怕“分裂投票+语气偏鸽”。通胀降至1.7%加深疑虑，期权看涨瞄准160。

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Categories: Live Updates

美国8月工业产出停滞，不及预期，强化市场对美联储降息的押注

Futuristic transparent money safe with a dollar symbol, surrounded by neon stock charts and graphs.

Written on September 18, 2026 at 5:18 pm, by josephine

美国8月工业生产环比零增长、逊预期0.3%，制造业动能急降。利率路径或再被重估，美元承压、美债趋强；建议用期权布局汇率、利率与美股对冲。

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Categories: Live Updates

英伦银行维持利率不变；量化紧缩（QT）调整压制长端英债收益率并拖累英镑

3D neon euro symbol glowing purple and blue in a financial trading scene with stock charts and graphs in the background.

Written on September 18, 2026 at 4:18 pm, by josephine

英伦银行按兵不动但仍暗示11月或加息，更爆冷重塑QT：长端Gilts改由DMO转移、年售200亿。30年息率挫12bp，英镑偏弱，预算案前波动降温、利多衍生品策略。

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Categories: Live Updates

墨西哥私人支出增长放缓，强化墨西哥央行降息预期与比索对冲策略

Close-up of a pen signing a contract on a desk with charts in the background

Written on September 18, 2026 at 3:19 pm, by josephine

墨西哥Q2私人消费同比降至2.1%引爆降温信号：Banxico或加速降息。策略：收固定TIIE互换、买入USD/MXN看涨期权押注比索走弱，并以IPC看跌期权对冲股市回调风险。

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Categories: Live Updates

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