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Monthly Archives: June 2026

野村看好欧元/英镑上行至0.90，欧洲央行鹰派立场与英国政治因素拖累英镑

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Written on June 12, 2026 at 4:10 pm, by

野村押注EUR/GBP看涨：ECB更鹰、英债前端利差料收窄至100bp下，叠加英国补选与财政政治风险，汇价数月或冲0.90。

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Categories: Live Updates

巴西5月IPCA通胀意外上行，引发对7月降息的疑虑，推高DI利率收益率

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Written on June 12, 2026 at 4:09 pm, by

巴西5月IPCA升0.58%超预期，打乱降息剧本！市场几乎抹去年内40bp降息押注，DI前端走弱、JAN27升至9.85%；雷亚尔或测5.50，股市承压需对冲。

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Categories: Live Updates

欧元/美元持平于1.1575附近，欧洲央行加息与美国数据支撑美元走势

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Written on June 12, 2026 at 3:40 pm, by

EUR/USD 反弹后卡在 1.1580–1.1590“天花板”，地缘与风险情绪偏稳；ECB 意外加息但或近尾声，美国 PPI/就业偏强撑美元。关键支撑 1.1555/1.1500。

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Categories: Live Updates

MUFG指出：美联储指引利率“高位维持更久”，亚洲央行与地缘政治因素支撑美元

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Written on June 12, 2026 at 3:39 pm, by

MUFG 指通胀顽固与就业强韧将推“高利率更久”，支撑美元。密集央行周与中东风险或引爆汇率重定价，美元指数、USD/JPY看涨期权受关注。

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Categories: Live Updates

印度卢比走强，受美伊日内瓦谅解备忘录希望推动油价下跌；美元/印度卢比测试95.12

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Written on June 12, 2026 at 3:10 pm, by

美伊拟签MOU、霍尔木兹重启预期压低油价，卢比走强至95.12、Nifty涨2%。尽管赤字或扩大、FII卖出，策略看空USD/INR与原油，关注94.79支撑。

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Categories: Live Updates

英镑测试200天均线，尽管英国数据走软，美元因美伊和解希望升温而受抑

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Written on June 12, 2026 at 3:09 pm, by

英镑/美元回稳偏强，关键阻力1.3415：美伊协议憧憬叠加美联储转鸽压低美元，盖过英国GDP转弱。策略：低波动下买7月1.3450看涨期权控风险。

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Categories: Live Updates

USD/BRL瞄准5.25的200日均线，投资者权衡突破之际巴西资金外流加剧

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Written on June 12, 2026 at 2:40 pm, by

USD/BRL自4.88反弹逼近5.25关键关口（200日均线+下降趋势线），上看5.32/5.34；若失守4.99恐转弱。巴股外资转流出，Copom临近推升波动率，可用看涨+保护性看跌布局。

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Categories: Live Updates

油价下滑，美国与伊朗谅解备忘录暂缓霍尔木兹局势，设定60天核谈判窗口

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Written on June 12, 2026 at 2:39 pm, by

美伊MoU曝光：未承诺移交霍尔木兹管理，核谈60天后启动。WTI回落83美元反应有限，不确定性或引爆波动；供应偏紧支撑底部，宜买波动率、布8-9月长跨式。

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Categories: Live Updates

市场焦点从欧洲央行加息转向联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC），沃什首次亮相释放中性偏鹰信号

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Written on June 12, 2026 at 2:10 pm, by

焦点转向6月17日FOMC：新班底或更中性但偏鹰，点阵图料撤今年降息、甚至纳入升息。就业强、通胀黏，押注“高利率更久”，降息概率跌破20%。

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Categories: Live Updates

欧洲央行在拉加德转趋鹰派下重启加息，将利率上调至2.25%；德意志银行预计9月或再行动

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Written on June 12, 2026 at 2:09 pm, by

欧央行2023年来首度加息至2.25%，拉加德释鹰讯号并上调通胀预测；德银料9月再加至2.50%甚至2.75%。欧元或走强、股市宜买保护性看跌。

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Categories: Live Updates

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