Monthly Archives: June 2026

日元走弱，风险偏好维持；市场严阵以待日本央行加息及内田指引

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Written on June 15, 2026 at 2:39 pm, by

日元欧洲盘续弱：美伊和平提振风险偏好，美元/日元守160附近。市场更看内田指引或偏鸽、利差支撑套息；关注160.73阻力与干预风险。

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Categories: Live Updates

美元因美伊停火及美联储政策不确定性走软，霍尔木兹海峡重开致油价下滑

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Written on June 15, 2026 at 2:10 pm, by

美伊临时停火重开霍尔木兹，美元回吐战争溢价、DXY跌破103，收益率承压。焦点转向6月17日FOMC：偏鸽或续弱；意外鹰派成最大风险。建议布局欧元/澳元看涨、短天期美元看涨对冲，并关注油价续跌与美股反弹。

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Categories: Live Updates

BBH预计瑞典央行将维持利率在1.75%，反驳年末加息预期

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Written on June 15, 2026 at 2:09 pm, by

瑞典央行或第六次维持1.75%，否定年底前加息定价；利率恐按兵不动更久、压制瑞典克朗。交易上可偏多EUR/SEK，并在短端掉期收固定捕捉重定价。

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Categories: Live Updates

布朗兄弟哈里曼（BBH）预计瑞典央行将维持利率在1.75%，并抵制市场押注加息，令瑞典克朗承压

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Written on June 15, 2026 at 1:39 pm, by

BBH料瑞典央行周四第六次维持1.75%，驳斥年底前加息预期；通胀温和、失业升拖累加息。市场或重定价致克朗走弱，USD/SEK与EUR/SEK看涨期权现机会。

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Categories: Live Updates

BBH认为，政治因素及英国经济增长疲弱拖累英镑，促使英伦银行维持利率不变

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Written on June 15, 2026 at 1:09 pm, by

BBH 料英伦银行续四次按兵不动但更偏鹰，增长与利差拖累英镑；Makerfield 补选及财政疑虑加剧风险，GBP/USD 或下探 1.22，宜布 put。

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Categories: Live Updates

欧元区4月工业产出小幅上升但不及预期，加深市场对欧洲央行鸽派押注并令欧元承压

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Written on June 15, 2026 at 12:40 pm, by

欧元区4月工业产出仅增0.1%逊预期，制造业PMI续缩拖累增长；核心通胀回落令欧央行更鸽，市场押注Q4降息。股指宜买Put对冲，欧元或下探1.06。

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Categories: Live Updates

欧元区工业产出重返增长，提振股市前景并支撑欧元

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Written on June 15, 2026 at 12:39 pm, by

欧元区4月工业产出按年转正至0.3%，制造业或触底反弹；配合PMI回升，市场押注欧股续涨、欧元有底，关注ECB转鹰与期权对冲机会。

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Categories: Live Updates

美元/瑞郎跌破0.7950，但仍守住上升通道，交易员聚焦关键EMA均线水平

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Written on June 15, 2026 at 12:10 pm, by

USD/CHF跌0.5%至0.7930仍守上升通道：阻力0.8042/0.8060，支撑0.7920/0.7881。利差偏多美元，建议30-45天0.80看涨期权，破位转对冲。

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Categories: Live Updates

欧元/英镑测试一周高点，欧洲央行鹰派立场与英伦银行谨慎态度形成对比

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Written on June 15, 2026 at 12:09 pm, by

EUR/GBP 周一走强逼近 0.8644，一周高点在望。油价回落与 ECB 鹰派支撑欧元；BoE 决议前英镑承压。关键支撑 0.8620，看涨布局瞄准 0.8680。

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Categories: Live Updates

土耳其5月预算赤字收窄至2982亿里拉，支撑财政紧缩叙事

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Written on June 15, 2026 at 11:09 am, by

土耳其5月预算赤字缩至2982亿里拉，财政收紧释放利好：里拉或更稳、套息吸引力在，股市与主权信用风险下降；惟7月通胀若走偏或逆转行情。

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