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Monthly Archives: June 2026

美联储立场坚定，美元重新与利差挂钩，测试12个月高位

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Written on June 18, 2026 at 3:40 pm, by

美元重新与利差挂钩，美联储“更久更高”预期推升美元测试一年高位；策略建议偏多美元与期权布局，并警惕强美元压制黄金、原油等商品。

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Categories: Live Updates

挪威央行维持利率在4.25%，释放进一步收紧信号，利率峰值料达4.55%

Neon-glow glass document labeled 'Policy' being signed with a pen; financial chart in the background.

Written on June 18, 2026 at 3:39 pm, by

挪威央行维持利率4.25%却放话或再加息，利率峰值上看4.55%。通胀顽固、油价强势支撑NOK；与ECB降息分化扩大利差，策略偏靠套息非追涨。

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Categories: Live Updates

英伦银行维持银行利率在3.75%，反对者推动加息，英镑走软

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Written on June 18, 2026 at 3:10 pm, by

英伦银行利率维持3.75%但暗示通胀回落、增长略强，英镑应声走弱。别只看偏鸽：工资与服务通胀顽固，或触发急转鹰派，买入GBP/USD波动率。

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Categories: Live Updates

英国央行维持利率不变，两名决策者支持降息，市场预期转向9月放宽政策

Transparent, glowing hand signs a policy document with a pen on a illuminated surface, a neon chart visible in the background.

Written on June 18, 2026 at 3:09 pm, by

英银MPC 7-2维持利率不变，鸽派异议升温却“按兵不动偏鹰”。8月降息概率跌破50%，9月更可能。英镑获撑、富时震荡，期权与备兑开仓成收益策略。

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Categories: Live Updates

英伦银行如预期加息，投票分歧暗示加息或已见顶

A pen signing a contract on a desk with bar charts and graphs in the background, blue-purple lighting.

Written on June 18, 2026 at 2:40 pm, by

英伦银行如预期加息、仍抗黏性通胀，但7-2分歧暗示利率峰值将近。英镑或“卖事实”走弱，FTSE 100承压；关注SONIA中段期限布局。

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Categories: Live Updates

英格兰银行维持基准利率不变，市场关注波动性、英国国债与英镑仓位动向

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Written on June 18, 2026 at 2:39 pm, by

英银按兵不动，利率维持5.25%符合预期，波动率回落。焦点转向通胀与薪资数据，夏季或继续观望；策略看富时卖虚值期权、做陡峭化，英镑偏强。

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Categories: Live Updates

美元与利差推动欧元/美元走势，联储在逼近12个月高位之际转趋不那么鸽派

Neon blue and purple 3D outline of a dollar bill on a dark, reflective surface.

Written on June 18, 2026 at 2:09 pm, by

欧元/美元几乎变成美元指数镜像！美国通胀黏着、增长韧性令美联储更偏鹰，利差再度主导走势；EUR/USD逼近1.0550，或试探1.0500关口。

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Categories: Live Updates

瑞士央行维持利率于零水平，通胀预测上调及政策分歧拖累瑞郎

Transparent, neon-lit policy document open on a surface with a pen poised to sign.

Written on June 18, 2026 at 1:40 pm, by

瑞士央行维持利率0%，通胀预测上调仍低于2%。与美欧利差扩大恐压瑞郎。掉期仅50%概率升息25点；低波动期权与套息交易成焦点，留意避险反扑。

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Categories: Live Updates

荷兰合作银行：美元夹在伊朗局势降温与沃什鹰派美联储立场之间，美元指数（DXY）走强

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Written on June 18, 2026 at 1:39 pm, by

美元被中东避险退潮与沃什鹰派言论拉扯走高。Rabobank警告：加息定价或跑太前，通胀与就业降温，DXY恐回调，期权与利率期货现机会。

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Categories: Live Updates

印度卢比因油价下跌及美伊停火走强；美联储偏鹰限制涨幅

Neon-lit 100-dollar bill overlaid with a rising stock chart in blue and magenta.

Written on June 18, 2026 at 1:10 pm, by

油价下滑叠加美伊临时协议降温避险，印度卢比迎来走强窗口，USD/INR 跌向94.00。惟美联储偏鹰、再加息风险仍高，波动或加剧。

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Categories: Live Updates

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