Dollar Index Double Top as EUR/USD and GBP/USD Break Higher; Gold Triangle and Crypto at Crossroads

by VT Markets
/
Jul 31, 2026

EUR/USD and GBP/USD moved higher, raising the prospect of a new uptrend, while JPY crosses were driven down to key support before rebounding. USD/CAD was testing 1.40, and CHF pairs were rejected at key resistance. The US Dollar Index was described as forming a double-top pattern, with yields pausing after their recent moves.

In commodities, gold was framed as trading within a triangle pattern, and crypto was characterised as being at a crossroads. The material was presented as part of the Daily Technical Update, a 15–20 minute video format using live charts.

Major Currency Pairs and Dollar Index at Pivotal Levels

We are seeing the US Dollar Index form a clear double top pattern, suggesting a major pivot point that derivative traders must watch closely. With EUR/USD and GBP/USD breaking higher into what looks like a fresh uptrend, we should look to position for further dollar weakness. Recent economic data shows Eurozone inflation holding steady near 2.5%, giving the European Central Bank less pressure to cut rates aggressively compared to the Federal Reserve.

Meanwhile, JPY pairs have bounced after hitting key support levels, offering excellent short-term risk-reward setups. We also need to closely monitor USD/CAD as it tests the heavy 1.40 psychological resistance. Historically, failures at this 1.40 level have led to rapid downward reversals, making bear put spreads an appealing strategy for the coming weeks.

Gold’s Coiling Pattern and Crypto’s Critical Juncture

Gold is currently coiling inside a tight triangle pattern, indicating that a massive volatility breakout is just around the corner. This technical setup is backed by strong fundamentals, as global central bank gold buying continues to hover near historic highs of over 1,000 tonnes annually. We recommend trading this pattern using options straddles to profit from a sharp move in either direction.

Finally, the cryptocurrency market is at a vital crossroads as major digital assets test crucial multi-month support lines. With Treasury yields pausing their upward march, capital could soon rotate back into risk assets or safe havens depending on the next macro trigger. We suggest keeping position sizes smaller than usual until these key technical levels are broken and a clear trend emerges.

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