In May, Canada’s monthly wholesale sales exceeded forecasts, recording a 0.1% increase over -0.4%

by VT Markets
/
Jul 14, 2025

Canada’s wholesale sales rose by 0.1% in May, outperforming expectations of a decline by 0.4%. This comes at a time when global markets are facing fluctuations owing to various trade issues.

In the foreign exchange space, the AUD/USD pair has found minor support around the 0.6480 level. The pair moved back to the 0.6550 zone following the US Dollar’s strength and ongoing trade concerns.

Euro And Dollar Dynamics

The EUR/USD is trading below 1.1700, pressured by increased demand for US Dollars. New tariff announcements by Donald Trump have influenced the currency markets, impacting the Euro.

Gold prices are around $3,350 per troy ounce amidst fresh tariff threats. The metal’s slide followed three days of gains, with the market eyeing upcoming US inflation data.

Ethereum has seen trading activities near $3,000 after BitMine disclosed significant ETH holdings. This comes with over $990 million in inflows into Ethereum exchange-traded funds recently.

Financial markets continue to react to global trade dynamics and potential tariff changes. This week, the market will be closely watching the developments in US economic data and further trade policy updates.

Canada Wholesale Sales And Domestic Impact

Given the recent 0.1% rise in Canada’s wholesale sales, countering expectations of a decline, what we’re seeing is some resilience within domestic supply chains. Although modest, even fractional growth in this segment during a time of global trade headwinds acts as a stabilising force. Imports and wholesale distribution remain sensitive to broader policy shifts, and any upside surprise in these figures tends to filter into pricing trends across other industries. If wholesale activity gathers pace despite external pressures, it may lend modest support to Canadian interest rate expectations—even if broader inflation measures remain tame.

Shifting to foreign exchange, AUD/USD’s bounce from the 0.6480 floor back toward 0.6550 shows a market still driven by short-term flows, rather than long-term conviction. There’s been a tug-of-war between improving local data and persistent US strength. For those tactically exposed in derivatives, the bounce could offer a window for covered call strategies or to re-evaluate short positions. The pair remains exposed to commodity sentiment and China’s industrial outlook—neither of which have shown much stability. Future positioning should weigh the probability of renewed US Dollar buying against any stimulus headlines out of Beijing.

In the euro’s case, its recent sub-1.1700 performance versus the dollar reflects nothing new on the surface—risk aversion usually sends capital towards the greenback. But beneath it, Trump’s fresh tariff talk has had fast consequences. The pressure being exerted on trade partners has turned into capital flows, in this case out of Europe. The currency’s softness could linger until the European Central Bank addresses growth divergence more directly. We are keeping an eye on options skews in the EUR/USD, as they remain firmly underpricing sharp downside, which presents asymmetrical possibilities particularly for those structuring straddles or ratio puts.

Gold at $3,350, softening after three days of lift, aligns with the narrative of shifting inflation expectations. The recent spike in tariffs isn’t fuelling the type of risk-off rotation we’d typically associate with surging bullion demand. Instead, real rates—even marginally adjusted—are tightening grip. Should US inflation surprises hit the tape in the near term, gold may re-test lower ranges near $3,280, especially if liquidity in futures thins out. UVXY and call hedge volumes remain low, which is worth noting.

In crypto markets, Ethereum holding near $3,000 after BitMine’s disclosures suggests investor appetite remains focused on where bulk holdings are stored—not just the headline flows. It’s not lost on us that $990 million has poured into Ethereum-linked ETFs, which suggests institutional interest remains more allocation-oriented. If derivative volumes continue to rise without a confirmed support above the $3,100 mark, we might see more two-sided action in volatility selling on the weekly expiry windows. This type of order flow warrants wider stops and a retune of delta exposure for those running systematic options overlays.

Global trade shifts and upcoming US economic data are setting up for headline-linked responses, but the next few weeks might also bring some clarity on how persistent trade aggression will actually be. For those engaging with short-term pricing, it’s not about guessing policy announcements—it’s about calibrating exposure to those assets most likely to respond sharply when the futures book shifts. Stats will drive sentiment, but positioning will shape price.

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