The conflict involving a high-profile divorce and allegations against Elon Musk has intensified, causing market turmoil. Shares of Tesla have fallen by 16.5%, influenced by the ongoing tension between Musk and governmental figures.
Elon Musk has responded with a statement urging people to “mark this post for the future” and assert that “the truth will come out”. The escalation in the situation is surprising, considering it began as a single disagreement just the day before.
Impact On Tesla Shares
This escalation, mainly driven by increasingly personal accusations, has rattled a section of the technology and automotive equities, with Tesla bearing the brunt of investor nervousness. The sharp slide of 16.5% in Tesla shares isn’t just a reaction to noise—it’s a measure of fragility in sentiment surrounding high-profile public figures who are deeply embedded within corporate valuations. This isn’t the first time markets have responded swiftly to events veering outside pure financial fundamentals, and yet, it once again highlights how thin confidence can be.
Musk’s reaction, published widely across social networks, appears to serve dual purposes. On the one hand, it aims to steady his personal image. On the other, it’s a signal to existing investors that the current narrative should be questioned—or at least revisited later. These attempts to reframe the situation may find an audience among some, but they do little to address the immediate need for clarity. That vacuum naturally allows speculation to fill the gaps, which rarely supports pricing stability in the short term.
This is where things become more relevant to directional traders betting across shorter horizons. What we’ve seen over the past 24 hours is a strong directional shift, not yet fully corrected or reaffirmed. The suddenness of the change has left options markets flushed with fresh premium, reflecting an implied volatility skew wider than typical two-week averages. In fact, at-market calls have experienced the sharpest bid increases since last October’s overnight regulatory scare, echoing some of the same dislocation traits we saw then.
Impact On Trading Strategies
Taking this into account, the VIX-related products haven’t responded at the same intensity, which suggests that the reaction is still largely confined within names close to the direct fallout, without meaningful carryover into broader indices—yet. This also means we are now in a zone where mismatches between single-stock volatility and broader index metrics may provide short-term opportunity for spread-based trades.
In light of the above, we’ve been closely watching the volumes building around the shorter-term weeklies. Option writers appear mostly conservative, placing narrower spreads and favouring upper strike protective calls, suggesting defensive positioning without total abandonment of direction. There’s little appetite for owning downside outright at current premiums unless protection is required for broader theta-driven trades. That restraint may shift quickly if the situation doesn’t de-escalate, so positioning now requires layered flexibility rather than a chase for sharp directional exposure.
We should also be mindful of the spillover risk into index-weighted funds if price instability persists into the options expiry window. With a quarterly expiry approaching, gamma positioning isn’t yet reflecting broader panic—but it’s best not to interpret that as reassurance. Once pin risk interacts with more aggressive rolling activity, new anomalies will develop, and it’ll be those who prepare for erratic volume surges who fare best.
In practical terms, this may not be the week to leave open exposure unadjusted overnight, particularly in leveraged vehicles. Instead, intraday ranges are offering ample entries for short-duration strategies. It’s less about long-term view building right now, and more about preserving glide while collecting from weekly distortions where fair value calculations remain just slightly off-centre.