UOB Group’s analysts highlight that 1.3600 may be unattainable for GBP/USD due to overbought conditions

    by VT Markets
    /
    May 26, 2025

    Strong momentum suggests further strength for the Pound Sterling (GBP), although overbought conditions indicate the current advance might not reach 1.3600. Despite this, longer-term upward momentum remains robust with an objective of 1.3635.

    In the 24-hour view, GBP’s price action outpaced expectations, reaching 1.3550, though further rise may be capped below 1.3600. A resistance level stands at 1.3570, while any pullback is likely to stay above 1.3475, with minor support at 1.3505.

    Outlook for Gbp Remains Positive

    Over the next one to three weeks, the outlook for GBP remains positive after its recent breach of 1.3500, peaking at 1.3550. Sustained strength is expected as long as the 1.3420 support level holds, with 1.3635 as the next target.

    It is essential to conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions. Investing involves risks, including potential total loss and emotional distress. Always consider the risks, and remember that this information does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell.

    What this tells us is that the Pound has been steadily pushing higher over recent trading sessions. Sterling’s ability to advance past 1.3550 speaks to stronger sentiment than initially projected, but the rally could be tiring in the very near term. The short-term range should be watched with care—resistance at 1.3570 could be tested, but surpassing it without some pullback first looks less likely, given how extended recent moves have been.

    Now, conditions like these typically point to some caution over the next day or two. This isn’t to say confidence in further upside has dried up—not at all. Rather, the speed and extent of recent gains suggest things could temporarily slow down or even dip modestly before making another attempt toward that upper price band. It’s in moments like these that we’ve found timing matters more than usual.

    Broader Trend Clearly Still Tilts Upward

    Looking slightly further out, the broader trend clearly still tilts upward. The recent push beyond 1.3500 wasn’t just technical—it also pulled in fresh buying interest, which helped lift it toward the 1.3550 mark. That breach adds weight to the argument for continued gains over the coming one to three weeks. What matters now is that the pair stays firmly planted above 1.3420. A move below it would cast doubt on this bullish setup. However, so long as that level holds, confidence in the move toward 1.3635 should remain intact.

    A small consolidation here might actually be healthy. It would give recent buyers a chance to regroup, ease some overbought metrics, and re-enter with better pricing. As long as we see dips met with buying interest above 1.3475, that would signal commitment and staying power behind current upside moves.

    From a reactive rather than predictive standpoint, we’ve noticed during similar periods that retaining setups with flexible stops—just wide enough to allow for natural price fluctuations—has worked best where direction seems known but timing remains tricky. Planning entries near interim supports like 1.3505 can offer a more favourable reward-to-risk than chasing breaks, especially when momentum indicators are stretched.

    Of course, holding a bias doesn’t mean every move will be linear. It’s easy to over-commit once a trend appears stronger—history shows that the better approach often comes down to waiting for price and structure to align, rather than anticipation alone. With price behaviour hinting at strength but restraint, the next few sessions may demand more patience than action.

    As it stands, there is little to detract from the broader positive theme. Upper levels closer to 1.3635 remain meaningful targets. But for those of us adapting to daily fluctuations, much will now hinge on whether Sterling can build consistent support, just above the old breakout line.

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