China’s market must open to the US, as closed markets are outdated, according to Trump

    by VT Markets
    /
    May 9, 2025

    The US president emphasises that China should open its market to the United States. He suggests that open markets are more beneficial than closed ones.

    The statement was shared early in the morning, suggesting a potential focus for the day. This emphasises his stance on international trade relations.

    Desire for Accessible Trade

    The initial remarks from the president underscore a desire for more accessible trade routes and unblocked entry into Chinese markets. By highlighting a preference for openness, he is voicing long-standing concerns from Washington about barriers that restrict American firms abroad. His statement ties into broader efforts to press Beijing for structural changes, particularly in sectors where foreign investment remains tightly managed or indirectly discouraged.

    Markets tend to react when such comments come directly from the top, especially when they’re timed during pre-market hours. That timing creates a ripple of short-term bets on expectations of trade-related moves, often translating into volatility within both equity and currency futures before the main session even begins.

    For us trading options or futures, this kind of explicit positioning can quickly lend itself to speculation about near-term policy responses. The remarks weren’t abstract; they dropped just as liquidity was coming in, and that can affect put-to-call ratios if traders expect additional tariffs, or conversely, agreement.

    Trade Comment Implications

    With Powell having recently stuck to steady language on rates, these trade comments provide new material for directional bias. While rates remain top-of-mind, remarks like these can push supply chain exposure back into the valuations of semi-conductors, automakers, and consumer durable indices. So if exposure is leaning too far into low-vol strikes, we might need some repositioning—especially in the Asia-exposed components.

    Yields are already adjusting to forward guidance, so if trade becomes the headline, demand comes into long futures from the safety end in a pattern we’ve seen before. It’s not large yet, but it’s plainly there.

    What this means, in practice, is opportunity lies in identifying where hedges are thin and momentum hasn’t yet been reflected in volatility pricing. Contracts with expiry aligned to any scheduled international meetings now carry more weight. And option premiums that looked pricey last week may appear underpriced now if protective flows ramp higher.

    We’re watching for anyone lining up high-delta strategies prematurely. The smarter money tends to leave room when early signals feel more rhetorical than administrative. Still, it only takes one firm response—new tariffs, a delayed meeting—to shift that balance before it’s priced in.

    As always, implieds outpace headlines.

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